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League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
SC

Swindon
0 - 1
Stockport


Morris (2'), Hepburn-Murphy (3'), Brynn (60'), Williams (62')
Wakeling (1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Croasdale (80')
Rydel (45+4'), Lewis (48'), Knoyle (49'), Lemonheigh-Evans (64'), Wootton (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rochdale 4-4 Swindon
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Mansfield
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Stockport County

Neither side is in great form, and both need a win as a draw will not do them many favours in reaching their desired targets. However, it is tough to separate the sides, and despite scoring four at Rochdale last week, Swindon, like Stockport, have not been overly prolific recently. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 37.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawStockport County
37.34%25.49%37.17%
Both teams to score 56.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.11%47.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.94%70.06%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.9%25.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.2%59.8%
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.81%25.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.08%59.92%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 37.34%
    Stockport County 37.17%
    Draw 25.49%
Swindon TownDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 8.74%
2-1 @ 8.33%
2-0 @ 6.04%
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 0.96%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 37.34%
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 6.32%
2-2 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 8.72%
1-2 @ 8.31%
0-2 @ 6.01%
1-3 @ 3.82%
0-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 2.64%
1-4 @ 1.32%
0-4 @ 0.95%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 37.17%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rochdale 4-4 Swindon
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 0-0 Swindon
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Carlisle
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-1 Swindon
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 3-0 Harrogate
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Swindon
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Mansfield
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Stockport
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 0-0 Gillingham
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 0-0 Doncaster
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Stockport
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 1-2 Stockport
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in League Two


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