Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 54.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
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