Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 49.75%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 22.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.04) 
