Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
