Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsberger win with a probability of 62.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Austria Lustenau had a probability of 14.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsberger win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.82%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for an Austria Lustenau win it was 1-0 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsberger would win this match.