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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
KL

Aberdeen
2 - 0
Kilmarnock

Gueye (23', 65')
McGrath (67'), Palaversa (90+2'), Rubezic (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lyons (54')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberdeen 1-0 Queen's Park
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Copenhagen 2-0 Kilmarnock
Thursday, August 22 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Aberdeen 2-0 Kilmarnock

These two sides have had polar opposite starts to the campaign, and with the hosts proving unstoppable across all competitions so far, we expect a comfortable victory for Aberdeen. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 73.75%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 9.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.23%) and 3-0 (10.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.92%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Aberdeen in this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawKilmarnock
73.75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 16.66% (0.00099999999999767 0) 9.59%
Both teams to score 45.66% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.35% (0.0020000000000024 0)41.65% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.95% (0.0019999999999953 0)64.05% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.22% (0.00099999999999056 0)9.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.48% (0.0019999999999953 0)32.52% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.61% (0.0049999999999955 0)49.39% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)84.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 73.74%
    Kilmarnock 9.59%
    Draw 16.66%
AberdeenDrawKilmarnock
2-0 @ 13.05%
1-0 @ 11.23%
3-0 @ 10.11%
2-1 @ 9.21% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.14%
4-0 @ 5.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 4.15%
5-0 @ 2.73%
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 73.74%
1-1 @ 7.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 3.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 16.66%
0-1 @ 3.41%
1-2 @ 2.79%
0-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 9.59%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Aberdeen 1-0 Queen's Park
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Aberdeen 3-1 St Mirren
Sunday, August 11 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-2 Aberdeen
Monday, August 5 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 6-0 Dumbarton
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-1 Airdrieonians
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: East Kilbride 0-4 Aberdeen
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Copenhagen 2-0 Kilmarnock
Thursday, August 22 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Motherwell 1-0 Kilmarnock (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, August 18 at 2pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Tromso 0-1 Kilmarnock
Thursday, August 15 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-3 St Johnstone
Sunday, August 11 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-2 Tromso
Thursday, August 8 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Celtic 4-0 Kilmarnock
Sunday, August 4 at 4.30pm in Scottish Premiership


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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