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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Sep 21, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
BL

AC Milan
2 - 0
Bologna

Ibrahimovic (35', 50' pen.)
Castillejo (40'), Krunic (86'), Gabbia (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dominguez (18'), Dijks (31'), Tomiyasu (74'), Sansone (82')
Dijks (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 64.34%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 16.45%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 1-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawBologna
64.34%19.21%16.45%
Both teams to score 57.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.6%36.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.47%58.53%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.31%10.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.4%34.6%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.73%35.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.97%72.03%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 64.34%
    Bologna 16.45%
    Draw 19.21%
AC MilanDrawBologna
2-1 @ 9.82%
2-0 @ 9.43%
1-0 @ 8.43%
3-1 @ 7.32%
3-0 @ 7.03%
4-1 @ 4.09%
4-0 @ 3.93%
3-2 @ 3.81%
4-2 @ 2.13%
5-1 @ 1.83%
5-0 @ 1.76%
5-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 64.34%
1-1 @ 8.79%
2-2 @ 5.12%
0-0 @ 3.77%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 19.21%
1-2 @ 4.58%
0-1 @ 3.93%
0-2 @ 2.05%
2-3 @ 1.78%
1-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 16.45%


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