Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 51.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Lille had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Lille win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
