Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 54.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 20.63%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Red Star Belgrade win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Red Star Belgrade
54.1%	25.26%	20.63%

Both teams to score 46.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.21%

55.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.08%

76.91%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.37%

20.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.81%

53.19%

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.98%

42.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.55%

78.44%

Score Analysis

AC Milan 54.09%

Red Star Belgrade 20.63%

Draw 25.26%

AC Milan	Draw	Red Star Belgrade
1-0 @ 13.67% 2-0 @ 10.79% 2-1 @ 9.36% 3-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 4.93% 4-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.33% Total : 54.09%	1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 8.67% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.26%	0-1 @ 7.52% 1-2 @ 5.14% 0-2 @ 3.26% 1-3 @ 1.49% 2-3 @ 1.17% 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.11% Total : 20.63%