SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
29.03% ( 0.13) | 23.87% ( 0.01) | 47.1% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 58.9% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.04% ( 0.02) | 42.96% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.64% ( 0.02) | 65.36% ( -0.01) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.2% ( 0.09) | 27.81% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.61% ( 0.12) | 63.4% ( -0.12) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.58% ( -0.05) | 18.42% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.42% ( -0.08) | 49.59% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 2-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.03% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.87% | 1-2 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.29% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 3.5% Total : 47.1% |
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