Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
