SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 52.84%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 23.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | Olympiacos |
52.84% ( -0) | 23.27% ( -0) | 23.89% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 56.19% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.62% ( 0.01) | 44.38% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.25% ( 0.01) | 66.75% ( -0.01) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.22% ( 0) | 16.78% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.27% ( 0.01) | 46.73% ( -0.01) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.52% ( 0.01) | 32.48% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.99% ( 0.01) | 69.01% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Athens | Draw | Olympiacos |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% 1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.68% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.81% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.17% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.59% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.31% 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 52.84% | 1-1 @ 10.94% 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 6.15% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.13% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.45% 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 23.89% |
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