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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 10
Jul 10, 2021 at 4.30pm UK
Friends Arena, Solna, Stockholm

AIK
2 - 1
Varbergs

Radulovic (37'), Rogic (77')
Kahl (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Matthews (23')
Simovic (17'), Winbo (40')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between AIK Fotboll and Varbergs BoIS.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AIK Fotboll would win this match.

Result
AIK FotbollDrawVarbergs BoIS
42.76%26.09%31.15%
Both teams to score 52.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.41%51.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.62%73.38%
AIK Fotboll Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.06%23.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.83%58.17%
Varbergs BoIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.3%30.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04%66.96%
Score Analysis
    AIK Fotboll 42.75%
    Varbergs BoIS 31.15%
    Draw 26.08%
AIK FotbollDrawVarbergs BoIS
1-0 @ 10.5%
2-1 @ 8.87%
2-0 @ 7.51%
3-1 @ 4.23%
3-0 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.51%
4-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 42.75%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 7.35%
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.68%
1-2 @ 7.33%
0-2 @ 5.13%
1-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 2.02%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 31.15%

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