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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 3
Sep 30, 2020 at 6pm UK
Stade Francois Coty

Ajaccio
1 - 0
Dunkerque

Barreto (72' pen.)
Ismael (22'), Avinel (54'), Courtet (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bruneel (21'), Sy (41'), Kerrouche (56')
Kerrouche (61')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Ajaccio and Dunkerque.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.41%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 0-1 (12.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ajaccio in this match.

Result
AjaccioDrawDunkerque
37.19%29.75%33.05%
Both teams to score 42.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.58%64.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.52%83.48%
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.73%33.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.12%69.88%
Dunkerque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.92%36.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.14%72.86%
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 37.19%
    Dunkerque 33.05%
    Draw 29.74%
AjaccioDrawDunkerque
1-0 @ 13.2%
2-1 @ 7.41%
2-0 @ 7.27%
3-1 @ 2.72%
3-0 @ 2.67%
3-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 37.19%
1-1 @ 13.46%
0-0 @ 12%
2-2 @ 3.78%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.74%
0-1 @ 12.23%
1-2 @ 6.87%
0-2 @ 6.24%
1-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 33.05%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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