Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.25%) and 2-1 (7.85%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
