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A
Europa League | Round of 32
Feb 25, 2021 at 5.55pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
L

Ajax
2 - 1
Lille

Klaassen (15'), Neres (88')
Maduro (63'), Neres (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Yazici (78' pen.)
Maignan (15'), Djalo (59'), Sanches (65'), Fonte (78')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.77%. A win for Lille had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.57%) and 3-2 (5.4%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match.

Result
AjaxDrawLille
53.77%19.58%26.65%
Both teams to score 73.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.21%23.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.68%43.32%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.54%9.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.23%31.77%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.67%19.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.9%51.1%
Score Analysis
    Ajax 53.77%
    Lille 26.65%
    Draw 19.58%
AjaxDrawLille
2-1 @ 8.36%
3-1 @ 6.57%
3-2 @ 5.4%
2-0 @ 5.08%
1-0 @ 4.31%
3-0 @ 4%
4-1 @ 3.87%
4-2 @ 3.18%
4-0 @ 2.36%
5-1 @ 1.83%
4-3 @ 1.74%
5-2 @ 1.5%
5-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 4.46%
Total : 53.77%
1-1 @ 7.09%
2-2 @ 6.87%
3-3 @ 2.96%
0-0 @ 1.83%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 19.58%
1-2 @ 5.82%
2-3 @ 3.76%
1-3 @ 3.19%
0-1 @ 3.01%
0-2 @ 2.47%
2-4 @ 1.55%
0-3 @ 1.35%
1-4 @ 1.31%
3-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 26.65%

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