Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 57.77%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Young Boys had a probability of 20.62%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Young Boys win it was 1-2 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
