SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al-Ahli |
| 43.58% | 23.96% ( 0.01) | 32.46% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.49% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.33% ( -0.08) | 41.68% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.92% ( -0.08) | 64.08% ( 0.08) |
| Al Ittihad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.64% ( -0.03) | 19.37% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.84% ( -0.05) | 51.16% ( 0.05) |
| Al-Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.02% ( -0.04) | 24.98% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.37% ( -0.06) | 59.63% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al-Ahli |
| 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 3.23% Total : 43.58% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.65% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 32.46% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
