SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 64.65%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 16.95%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 3-1 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for an Al Raed win it was 1-2 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al Raed |
64.65% ( -4.05) | 18.4% ( 1.12) | 16.95% ( 2.93) |
| Both teams to score 62.16% ( 3.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.63% ( 0.76) | 31.36% ( -0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.18% ( 0.89) | 52.81% ( -0.9) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.79% ( -0.7) | 9.2% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.84% ( -1.69) | 31.16% ( 1.68) |
| Al Raed Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.46% ( 4.03) | 31.54% ( -4.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.06% ( 4.4) | 67.93% ( -4.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al Raed |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.93)3-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.22)1-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.53)3-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.98)4-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.29)3-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.34)4-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.73)4-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.21)5-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.42)5-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1% ( 0.15)Other @ 4.09% Total : 64.65% | 1-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.59)0-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.29)Other @ 0.32% Total : 18.4% | 1-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.63) 0-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.22)2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.42)0-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.4)Other @ 3.17% Total : 16.95% |
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