SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shabab win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Al Raed had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Shabab win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Al Raed win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Shabab would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Shabab | Draw | Al Raed |
46.95% ( 0.2) | 24.78% ( 0.09) | 28.27% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 55.29% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.54% ( -0.54) | 47.46% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.33% ( -0.5) | 69.68% ( 0.51) |
| Al Shabab Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.73% ( -0.14) | 20.28% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.37% ( -0.22) | 52.63% ( 0.22) |
| Al Raed Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.35% ( -0.48) | 30.65% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.11% ( -0.58) | 66.89% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Shabab | Draw | Al Raed |
| 1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.8% Total : 46.95% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.77% | 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.02% Total : 28.27% |
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