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National League | Gameweek 3
Oct 6, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Recreation Ground
SU

Aldershot
1 - 2
Sutton

Bettamer (75')
Nouble (59'), Edser (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Eastmond (39'), Randall (85')
Eastmond (61'), Bugiel (66'), Rowe (90')
Coverage of the National League clash between Aldershot Town and Sutton United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Aldershot TownDrawSutton United
33.46%28.35%38.19%
Both teams to score 46.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.31%59.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20%80%
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.73%33.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.12%69.89%
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.77%30.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.6%66.4%
Score Analysis
    Aldershot Town 33.46%
    Sutton United 38.19%
    Draw 28.35%
Aldershot TownDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 11.07%
2-1 @ 7.29%
2-0 @ 6.09%
3-1 @ 2.67%
3-0 @ 2.23%
3-2 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 33.46%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 10.06%
2-2 @ 4.36%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.35%
0-1 @ 12.03%
1-2 @ 7.92%
0-2 @ 7.2%
1-3 @ 3.16%
0-3 @ 2.87%
2-3 @ 1.74%
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 38.19%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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