SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Blyth Spartans |
48.96% ( -0) | 24.62% ( 0.09) | 26.42% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 54.33% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.96% ( -0.45) | 48.04% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.79% ( -0.42) | 70.21% ( 0.42) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.34% ( -0.18) | 19.66% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.36% ( -0.29) | 51.64% ( 0.29) |
| Blyth Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.63% ( -0.31) | 32.37% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.11% ( -0.35) | 68.89% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Blyth Spartans |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.95% Total : 48.96% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 26.42% |
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