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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 6
Dec 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
Recreation Park
AU

Alloa
0 - 2
Ayr


Trouten (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McCowan (38'), Murdoch (60')
Smith (37'), Chalmers (74')
Smith (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Alloa AthleticDrawAyr United
30.97%24.7%44.33%
Both teams to score 57.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.3%45.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.98%68.02%
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13%27.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.52%63.48%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31%20.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71%53.29%
Score Analysis
    Alloa Athletic 30.97%
    Ayr United 44.33%
    Draw 24.69%
Alloa AthleticDrawAyr United
2-1 @ 7.41%
1-0 @ 7.37%
2-0 @ 4.71%
3-1 @ 3.16%
3-2 @ 2.49%
3-0 @ 2%
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 30.97%
1-1 @ 11.6%
2-2 @ 5.84%
0-0 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.69%
1-2 @ 9.14%
0-1 @ 9.09%
0-2 @ 7.16%
1-3 @ 4.8%
0-3 @ 3.76%
2-3 @ 3.07%
1-4 @ 1.89%
0-4 @ 1.48%
2-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 44.33%

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