MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 17:45:54
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Thursday, March 28
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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 25
Apr 17, 2021 at 12pm UK
Recreation Park
RR

Alloa
1 - 2
Raith Rovers

Cawley (23')
Graham (54'), Hetherington (64'), Trouten (78')
Parry (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ugwu (56' pen.), Tait (61')
Duku (69')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 53.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 23.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Alloa AthleticDrawRaith Rovers
23.38%23.62%53.01%
Both teams to score 54.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.6%46.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.32%68.68%
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.96%34.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.28%70.72%
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.54%17.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.07%47.93%
Score Analysis
    Alloa Athletic 23.38%
    Raith Rovers 53.01%
    Draw 23.61%
Alloa AthleticDrawRaith Rovers
1-0 @ 6.4%
2-1 @ 6.02%
2-0 @ 3.45%
3-1 @ 2.16%
3-2 @ 1.89%
3-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 23.38%
1-1 @ 11.17%
0-0 @ 5.94%
2-2 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.61%
0-1 @ 10.37%
1-2 @ 9.76%
0-2 @ 9.05%
1-3 @ 5.68%
0-3 @ 5.27%
2-3 @ 3.06%
1-4 @ 2.48%
0-4 @ 2.3%
2-4 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 53.01%

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