Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Genk had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Anderlecht in this match.
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