Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 47.74%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Apollon Smirnis had a probability of 24.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for an Apollon Smirnis win it was 1-0 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
