Despite the absence of Messi, Argentina will be regarded as firm favourites to come out on top against Chile, who themselves are missing a few key players. The defending world champions possess a squad filled with talent and they should have few problems securing a routine victory on home soil.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Chile had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.45%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
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