Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 51.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 23.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Argentinos Juniors in this match.
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