Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 35.67%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.4%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 (12.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
