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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Dec 5, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
ShucoArena
ML

Arminia Bielefeld
2 - 1
Mainz 05

Prietl (21'), Doan (31')
Schipplock (74'), Hartel (85'), Kunze (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Stoger (82')
Niakhate (49'), St Juste (66')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Arminia BielefeldDrawMainz 05
30.49%24.75%44.76%
Both teams to score 56.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.85%46.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.55%68.45%
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.57%28.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.82%64.18%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31%20.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71%53.29%
Score Analysis
    Arminia Bielefeld 30.49%
    Mainz 05 44.76%
    Draw 24.75%
Arminia BielefeldDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 7.4%
2-1 @ 7.33%
2-0 @ 4.65%
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 2.42%
3-0 @ 1.95%
4-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 30.49%
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 5.88%
2-2 @ 5.78%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.75%
0-1 @ 9.27%
1-2 @ 9.18%
0-2 @ 7.3%
1-3 @ 4.82%
0-3 @ 3.83%
2-3 @ 3.03%
1-4 @ 1.9%
0-4 @ 1.51%
2-4 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 44.76%

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