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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 28, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona
C

Arsenal
0 - 0
Ceara


Mendez (21'), Albertengo (51'), Soraire (87')
FT

Pacheco (45'), Dias (75'), Jael (85'), Charles (87')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Ceara.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal SarandiDrawCeara
32.15%24.88%42.97%
Both teams to score 57.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.95%46.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.65%68.35%
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71%27.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.27%62.73%
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.55%21.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.52%54.48%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Sarandi 32.15%
    Ceara 42.97%
    Draw 24.88%
Arsenal SarandiDrawCeara
1-0 @ 7.6%
2-1 @ 7.6%
2-0 @ 4.94%
3-1 @ 3.29%
3-2 @ 2.53%
3-0 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 32.15%
1-1 @ 11.7%
0-0 @ 5.86%
2-2 @ 5.85%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 9.01%
1-2 @ 9.01%
0-2 @ 6.94%
1-3 @ 4.62%
0-3 @ 3.56%
2-3 @ 3%
1-4 @ 1.78%
0-4 @ 1.37%
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 42.97%

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