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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Mar 7, 2021 at 8.10pm UK
Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona
E

Arsenal
0 - 5
Estudiantes


Ruiz (75')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Diaz (3' pen., 53'), Gonzalez (17'), Sanchez Mino (43'), Cauteruccio (62')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Estudiantes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.

Result
Arsenal SarandiDrawEstudiantes
31.65%28.29%40.06%
Both teams to score 46.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.19%59.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.91%80.09%
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.39%34.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.67%71.33%
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.81%29.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.87%65.13%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Sarandi 31.64%
    Estudiantes 40.05%
    Draw 28.28%
Arsenal SarandiDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 7%
2-0 @ 5.69%
3-1 @ 2.48%
3-0 @ 2.01%
3-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 31.64%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 4.31%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.28%
0-1 @ 12.43%
1-2 @ 8.13%
0-2 @ 7.66%
1-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 3.14%
2-3 @ 1.77%
1-4 @ 1.03%
0-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 40.05%

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