SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 72.01%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 12.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 3-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.96%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Bournemouth |
72.01% ( -0.07) | 15.82% ( 0.03) | 12.16% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.98% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.47% ( -0.06) | 29.53% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.37% ( -0.07) | 50.62% ( 0.07) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.81% ( -0.03) | 7.19% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.89% ( -0.07) | 26.11% ( 0.07) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.55% ( 0.01) | 36.45% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.77% ( 0.01) | 73.23% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 8.04% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.06% 5-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.67% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.41% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.2% Total : 72.01% | 1-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 15.82% | 1-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 12.16% |
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