MX23RW : Friday, March 29 02:59:35
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Watford vs. Leeds: 17 hrs
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Premier League | Gameweek 24
Feb 14, 2021 at 4.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium
LL

Arsenal
4 - 2
Leeds

Aubameyang (13', 41' pen., 47'), Bellerin (45')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Struijk (58'), Costa (69')
Struijk (70'), Dallas (90+6')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 48.1%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.12%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawLeeds United
48.1%22.6%29.3%
Both teams to score 63.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.25%36.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.08%58.92%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.33%15.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.29%44.71%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.5%24.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.04%58.96%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 48.1%
    Leeds United 29.3%
    Draw 22.59%
ArsenalDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 9.28%
1-0 @ 7.12%
2-0 @ 6.59%
3-1 @ 5.73%
3-0 @ 4.07%
3-2 @ 4.03%
4-1 @ 2.66%
4-0 @ 1.89%
4-2 @ 1.87%
5-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 48.1%
1-1 @ 10%
2-2 @ 6.52%
0-0 @ 3.84%
3-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.59%
1-2 @ 7.04%
0-1 @ 5.4%
0-2 @ 3.8%
1-3 @ 3.3%
2-3 @ 3.06%
0-3 @ 1.78%
1-4 @ 1.16%
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 29.3%

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