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Premier League | Gameweek 14
Dec 4, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Emirates Stadium
MU

Arsenal
2 - 0
Man Utd

Maduro (54'), Saliba (73')
Zinchenko (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Malacia (44'), Ugarte (45'), Maguire (51')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 2-5 Arsenal
Saturday, November 30 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 66.67%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Manchester United had a probability of 15.22%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 1-0 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Manchester United win it was 1-2 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Arsenal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.

Result
ArsenalDrawManchester United
66.67% (0.0010000000000048 0) 18.11% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 15.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 58.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.47% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)33.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)55.33% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.67%9.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.54%31.46% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)34.95% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)71.69% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 66.67%
    Manchester United 15.22%
    Draw 18.11%
ArsenalDrawManchester United
2-1 @ 9.64%
2-0 @ 9.17% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 7.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 7.62%
3-0 @ 7.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 4.52%
4-0 @ 4.3%
3-2 @ 4.01%
4-2 @ 2.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.15%
5-0 @ 2.04%
5-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 4.73%
Total : 66.67%
1-1 @ 8.13%
2-2 @ 5.07%
0-0 @ 3.26% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 18.11%
1-2 @ 4.27%
0-1 @ 3.43%
0-2 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 15.22%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: West Ham 2-5 Arsenal
Saturday, November 30 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-5 Arsenal
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-1 Arsenal
Sunday, November 10 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Arsenal
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Arsenal
Saturday, November 2 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 4-0 Everton
Sunday, December 1 at 1.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 3-2 Bodo/Glimt
Thursday, November 28 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Ipswich 1-1 Man Utd
Sunday, November 24 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 3-0 Leicester
Sunday, November 10 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-0 PAOK
Thursday, November 7 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-1 Chelsea
Sunday, November 3 at 4.30pm in Premier League


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