Premier League | Gameweek 6

Sep 26, 2021 at 4.30pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
3 - 1
Spurs

Smith Rowe (12'), Aubameyang (27'), Saka (34')
Odegaard (89'), Sambi Lokonga (90+1')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Heung-min (79')
Skipp (67')

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.6%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
43.98%	27.83%	28.19%

Both teams to score 46.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.65%

59.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.26%

79.73%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.17%

26.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.88%

62.12%

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.99%

37.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.2%

73.79%

Score Analysis

Arsenal 43.98%

Tottenham Hotspur 28.19%

Draw 27.82%

Arsenal	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
1-0 @ 13.06% 2-0 @ 8.6% 2-1 @ 8.54% 3-0 @ 3.77% 3-1 @ 3.75% 3-2 @ 1.86% 4-0 @ 1.24% 4-1 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.93% Total : 43.98%	1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 9.93% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.82%	0-1 @ 9.87% 1-2 @ 6.45% 0-2 @ 4.9% 1-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 1.79% Total : 28.19%