Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 21.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
