SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
45.92% ( -0.25) | 23.52% ( 0.25) | 30.56% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 61.12% ( -0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.54% ( -1.18) | 40.46% ( 1.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.16% ( -1.23) | 62.83% ( 1.23) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.09% ( -0.56) | 17.91% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.29% ( -0.97) | 48.71% ( 0.98) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.45% ( -0.58) | 25.55% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.59% ( -0.8) | 60.41% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.28)2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.76% Total : 45.92% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.56% |
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