Sparta Prague
0 - 2
Monaco

(Monaco win 5-1 on aggregate)

Polidar (17'), Pavelka (34')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tchouameni (37'), Volland (59')
Fofana (5'), Badiashile (22'), Tchouameni (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Sparta Prague and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.78%) and 0-2 (5.07%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Sparta Prague	Draw	Monaco
32.09%	21.21%	46.7%

Both teams to score 70.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.77%

28.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.97%

49.03%

Sparta Prague Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.28%

18.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.91%

50.09%

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.04%

12.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.56%

39.44%

Score Analysis

Sparta Prague 32.09%

Monaco 46.7%

Draw 21.21%

Sparta Prague	Draw	Monaco
2-1 @ 6.96% 1-0 @ 4.07% 3-2 @ 3.97% 3-1 @ 3.89% 2-0 @ 3.41% 3-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.66% 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.48% Total : 32.09%	1-1 @ 8.31% 2-2 @ 7.11% 3-3 @ 2.7% 0-0 @ 2.43% Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.21%	1-2 @ 8.49% 1-3 @ 5.78% 0-2 @ 5.07% 0-1 @ 4.96% 2-3 @ 4.84% 0-3 @ 3.45% 1-4 @ 2.95% 2-4 @ 2.47% 0-4 @ 1.76% 3-4 @ 1.38% 1-5 @ 1.21% 2-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.33% Total : 46.7%