SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 52.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 21.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.62%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 1-0 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | Olympiacos |
21.63% ( -2.32) | 26.28% ( 0.14) | 52.09% ( 2.18) |
| Both teams to score 44.58% ( -2.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.63% ( -2.45) | 58.36% ( 2.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.02% ( -1.95) | 78.97% ( 1.95) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.55% ( -3.67) | 42.45% ( 3.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.17% ( -3.31) | 78.83% ( 3.31) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.46% ( -0.08) | 22.53% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.88% ( -0.11) | 56.11% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | Olympiacos |
| 1-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.6)2-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.4)3-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.35)3-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.26)3-0 @ 1% ( -0.23)Other @ 1.08% Total : 21.63% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.85)2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.46)Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 14.25% ( 1.24) 0-2 @ 10.62% ( 0.91)1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.44)1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.74% Total : 52.09% |
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