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Premier League | Gameweek 37
Jul 21, 2020 at 8.15pm UK
Villa Park
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Aston Villa
1 - 0
Arsenal

Trezeguet (27')
Luiz (71'), Targett (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Torreira (35'), Lacazette (61'), Kolasinac (80'), Willock (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawArsenal
28.3%25.01%46.69%
Both teams to score 54.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.57%48.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.44%70.56%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.87%31.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.55%67.45%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22%20.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57%53.43%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 28.3%
    Arsenal 46.69%
    Draw 25.01%
Aston VillaDrawArsenal
1-0 @ 7.55%
2-1 @ 6.92%
2-0 @ 4.41%
3-1 @ 2.69%
3-2 @ 2.12%
3-0 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 28.3%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 6.47%
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 10.16%
1-2 @ 9.32%
0-2 @ 7.98%
1-3 @ 4.88%
0-3 @ 4.18%
2-3 @ 2.85%
1-4 @ 1.92%
0-4 @ 1.64%
2-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 46.69%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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