Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
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