Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 63.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 16.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 2-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
