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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Arsenal |
31.11% ( 0.74) | 25.36% ( 0.27) | 43.52% ( -1.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.05% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.46% ( -0.87) | 48.54% ( 0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.34% ( -0.8) | 70.66% ( 0.79) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.8% ( 0.07) | 29.2% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.86% ( 0.08) | 65.14% ( -0.09) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.74% ( -0.84) | 22.25% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.31% ( -1.27) | 55.69% ( 1.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Arsenal |
| 1-0 @ 8% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 31.11% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.29% Total : 43.52% |
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