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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 7, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez
F

Junior
1 - 1
Fluminense

Borja (11' pen.)
Martinez (35'), Viera (36'), Borja (39')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kayky (20')
Nene (22'), Nino (28'), Barcelos (33')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 37.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Atletico JuniorDrawFluminense
37.79%24.61%37.61%
Both teams to score 59.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.21%43.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.82%66.18%
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99%23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.19%56.81%
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91%23.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.06%56.94%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Junior 37.79%
    Fluminense 37.61%
    Draw 24.6%
Atletico JuniorDrawFluminense
2-1 @ 8.41%
1-0 @ 7.81%
2-0 @ 5.74%
3-1 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 3.02%
3-0 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.51%
4-2 @ 1.11%
4-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 37.79%
1-1 @ 11.44%
2-2 @ 6.16%
0-0 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.6%
1-2 @ 8.39%
0-1 @ 7.79%
0-2 @ 5.71%
1-3 @ 4.1%
2-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 2.79%
1-4 @ 1.5%
2-4 @ 1.1%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 37.61%

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