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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 4, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Atletico Mineiro
4 - 0
Cerro Porteno

Hulk (9', 45+1'), Savarino (73'), Vargas (90+2')
Rodrigues de Souza (20'), Jair (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Patino (35'), Villasanti (66'), Duarte (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 14.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.65%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawCerro Porteno
61.8%23.89%14.31%
Both teams to score 38.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.73%59.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.32%79.68%
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81%19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.44%50.55%
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.89%52.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.92%86.07%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 61.79%
    Cerro Porteno 14.31%
    Draw 23.89%
Atletico MineiroDrawCerro Porteno
1-0 @ 16.44%
2-0 @ 13.65%
2-1 @ 8.9%
3-0 @ 7.56%
3-1 @ 4.93%
4-0 @ 3.14%
4-1 @ 2.05%
3-2 @ 1.61%
5-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 61.79%
1-1 @ 10.71%
0-0 @ 9.9%
2-2 @ 2.9%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 6.45%
1-2 @ 3.49%
0-2 @ 2.1%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 14.31%

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