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Brasileiro | Gameweek 5
Jun 22, 2021 at 12am UK
Mineirão
C

Atletico Mineiro
1 - 1
Chapecoense

Tche (25')
Hulk (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ravanelli (80' pen.)
Ignacio (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 49.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 24.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawChapecoense
49.71%25.54%24.74%
Both teams to score 49.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.94%53.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.35%74.65%
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63%21.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.66%54.34%
Chapecoense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.51%36.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.73%73.27%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 49.71%
    Chapecoense 24.74%
    Draw 25.54%
Atletico MineiroDrawChapecoense
1-0 @ 12.03%
2-1 @ 9.36%
2-0 @ 9.29%
3-1 @ 4.82%
3-0 @ 4.78%
3-2 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 1.86%
4-0 @ 1.84%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 49.71%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 7.8%
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 7.86%
1-2 @ 6.12%
0-2 @ 3.96%
1-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.59%
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 24.74%

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