Athletico PR
2 - 0
Penarol

(Athletico Paranaense win 4-1 on aggregate)

Nikao (24'), Rocha (80')
Ivaldo (45+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Alvarez (36'), Ramos (45+5'), Canobbio (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Athletico Paranaense and Penarol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Penarol had a probability of 19.51%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Penarol win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Penarol
56.23%	24.26%	19.51%

Both teams to score 47.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.65%

53.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.11%

74.89%

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.15%

18.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.71%

50.29%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.16%

41.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.71%

78.29%

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 56.23%

Penarol 19.51%

Draw 24.25%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 13.15% 2-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 9.57% 3-0 @ 6.11% 3-1 @ 5.32% 4-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 2.22% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.04% Total : 56.23%	1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 7.88% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.25%	0-1 @ 6.87% 1-2 @ 5% 0-2 @ 2.99% 1-3 @ 1.45% 2-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.99% Total : 19.51%