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Brasileiro | Gameweek 15
Aug 7, 2021 at 10pm UK
Arena da Baixada
SP

Athletico PR
1 - 2
Sao Paulo

Kayzer (28')
Richard (73'), Heleno (75')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Pablo (14' pen., 33')
Juan (17'), Vinicius (27'), Perri (82'), Galeano (88')
Benitez (82')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawSao Paulo
39.97%28.09%31.94%
Both teams to score 46.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.96%59.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.49%79.5%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13%28.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26%64.74%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66%34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.32%70.68%
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 39.97%
    Sao Paulo 31.94%
    Draw 28.09%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 12.19%
2-1 @ 8.17%
2-0 @ 7.58%
3-1 @ 3.38%
3-0 @ 3.14%
3-2 @ 1.83%
4-1 @ 1.05%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 39.97%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 9.82%
2-2 @ 4.41%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.09%
0-1 @ 10.59%
1-2 @ 7.1%
0-2 @ 5.71%
1-3 @ 2.55%
0-3 @ 2.05%
2-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 31.94%

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