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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Sep 19, 2021 at 12.15am UK
Monumental Jose Fierro

Tucuman
1 - 2
Boca Juniors

Lopez (57' og.)
Lotti (28'), Campos (58'), Benitez (89'), Menendez (90+4')
Mussis (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lopez (11'), Agustin Montes (30')
Campuzano (81')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Atletico Tucuman and Boca Juniors.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 48.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 24.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.74%) and 1-2 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 1-0 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Atletico TucumanDrawBoca Juniors
24.49%27.42%48.08%
Both teams to score 44.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40%60%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.76%80.24%
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.42%40.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.82%77.18%
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92%25.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23%59.77%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Tucuman 24.49%
    Boca Juniors 48.07%
    Draw 27.41%
Atletico TucumanDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 9.18%
2-1 @ 5.73%
2-0 @ 4.14%
3-1 @ 1.72%
3-0 @ 1.24%
3-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 24.49%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 10.17%
2-2 @ 3.96%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 14.07%
0-2 @ 9.74%
1-2 @ 8.78%
0-3 @ 4.49%
1-3 @ 4.05%
2-3 @ 1.83%
0-4 @ 1.55%
1-4 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 48.07%

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